This
far into the human story, only the historically uninstructed are
startled by what they think are new permutations of evil. So, when Russia sliced Crimea off Ukraine, Secretary of State John F. Kerry was nonplussed:
“You just don’t in the 21st century behave in 19th-century fashion by
invading another country on completely trumped up pretext.” If, however,
Vladimir Putin is out of step with the march of progress, where exactly
on history’s inevitably ascending path (as progressives like Kerry
evidently think) does Kerry, our innocent abroad, locate the Islamic
State?
The Islamic State uses crucifixions to
express piety and decapitations to encourage cooperation. These are
some of the “folks” — to adopt the locution Barack Obama frequently uses
to express his all-encompassing diffidence — Obama was referring to
when talking to the New York Times’ Thomas Friedman.
“That’s exactly right,” Obama said when Friedman suggested that Obama
believes all Middle East factions must agree to a politics of “no
victor, no vanquished.” It will be interesting watching Obama try to
convince the crucifiers and the crucified to split their differences.
Exactly 70 years ago, the United States grappled with a humanitarian dilemma. On Aug. 9, 1944, A. Leon Kubowitzki of the World Jewish Congress
wrote to Assistant Secretary of War John J. McCloy, quoting a Czech
official’s opinion that the “destruction of gas chambers and crematoria
in Oswiecim [Auschwitz] by bombing would have a certain effect now.” On
Aug. 14, McCloy rejected the request, noting that it would require “the
diversion of considerable air support essential to the success of our
forces now engaged in decisive operations elsewhere,” a defensible
argument. But then McCloy added that such bombing “might provoke even
more vindictive action by the Germans.” That is, bombing an
extermination camp might make the operators of the crematoria really
cross.
In 1988, President Ronald Reagan signed implementation legislation for the Genocide Convention,
the parties to which agreed to “undertake to prevent and to punish” the
kind of crimes the Islamic State vows to commit. Sen. Dianne Feinstein
(D-Calif.) today says,
“It takes an army to defeat an army.” Is she, too, so very 19th
century? Obama seems to agree with her, telling Friedman, “We can run
[the Islamic State] off for a certain period of time, but as soon as our
planes are gone, they’re coming right back in.” So air power is insufficient.
He also said, “We’re not going to let them create some caliphate
through Syria and Iraq, but we can only do that if we know that we’ve
got partners on the ground who are capable of filling the void.” We will
not “let” something happen — unless air power alone cannot prevent it
and no “partners” fill the void beneath our bombers. About that void:
The
United States has fought its longest war — more than three times longer
than U.S. involvement in World War II — lest Afghanistan become a state
unable or unwilling to prevent terrorists operating with impunity in a
substantial area. Since this war began, U.S. policies have created two
such voids by shattering two states, those of Iraq and Libya.
Friedman reports that Obama says his regret about Libya is not that he waged an utterly optional war of regime change. Rather, Obama regrets not getting busy “on
the ground” to “manage” Libya’s transition to democracy. So, even after
13 years in Afghanistan and nearly a decade in Iraq, Obama wishes the
United States had gone into Libya for more of the excitements and
satisfactions of nation-building.
Two
questions must be distinguished. First, is it an important U.S. interest
or duty to protect, as much as air power can, Kurds and Yazidis from
the Islamic State, and to (in Obama’s words) “push back” (back to
where?) this group? Even if the answer is yes, there is another
question: Is it wise to support the use of force by this president? He
is properly cautious about today’s awful dilemma, which is not primarily
of his making. But caution can be reckless.
One
of Napoleon’s aphorisms — “If you start to take Vienna, take Vienna” —
means: In military matters, tentativeness is ruinous. Are F-18s going to
be used for a foreign policy of rightminded gestures — remember #BringBackOurGirls?
— the success of which is in making the gesturers feel virtuous?
“Success,” said T.S. Eliot, “is relative: It is what we can make of the
mess we have made of things.” There is much material — rubble, actually —
to work with as we seek success.
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